College of Michigan closing sentiment for July 61.7 vs 62.zero preliminary

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  • Prior month 60.7
  • Present circumstances 68.zero vs 58.6 preliminary
  • Expectations 57.7 vs 66.eight preliminary

Inflation expectations

  • One 12 months inflation expectations four.5% vs four.four% preliminary
  • 5 12 months inflation expectations three.four% vs three.6% preliminary

The information has been gentle throughout the board at present, together with this closing UMich report. The market is now pricing 59 bps of easing by year-end vs 35 bps earlier than the NFP report. That is an enormous leap and reveals that the market is cautious of the Fed being probably late and due to this fact it is pricing the likelihood of bigger cuts.

This text was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

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