Oil Information: Might Russian Provide Danger Reprice Crude Futures After Trump-Putin Talks?…

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With no formal assertion launched but, consideration now shifts to how the market digests the occasion into the Monday open.

Trump-Putin Summit Might Reprice Russian Provide Danger

Friday night’s assembly between President Trump and President Putin (August 15, 20:00 GMT) looms massive over the approaching week. Trump signaled openness to easing sanctions if peace talks in Ukraine acquire traction—but in addition warned of secondary tariffs if negotiations break down.

The stakes are excessive for crude flows, significantly for China and India, who’ve been prime consumers of Russian barrels. Merchants will probably be watching carefully for any recent headlines over the weekend that might reprioritize provide danger because the market reopens.

EIA Experiences Bearish Inventory Construct as Imports Rise

Weekly U.S. stock knowledge added to the draw back tone. The EIA posted a shock three million barrel construct in crude shares, pushed by a virtually 700,00zero bpd soar in internet imports. Export flows remained delicate, with worldwide consumers cautious amid tariff uncertainty. The construct reinforces considerations that supply-side stress hasn’t eased, even with geopolitical uncertainty simmering within the background.

Demand Issues Mount as China Information Softens

China’s newest financial readouts didn’t encourage confidence. Manufacturing unit output progress slowed to an eight-month low, whereas retail gross sales noticed their weakest tempo since December. Yr-over-year refinery throughput rose eight.9%, however month-over-month figures fell, and an increase in refined product exports hinted at weakening home demand. The IEA additionally downgraded its demand outlook and flagged an rising surplus, aligning with forecasts of practically 900,00zero bpd oversupply by mid-2026.

OPEC+ Regular, Guyana Provides Barrels right into a Heavy Market

OPEC+ output remained regular with no main changes, whereas Guyana continues to carry new barrels on-line by way of Exxon’s fourth offshore platform. With out deeper cuts or significant disruptions, the availability aspect stays lopsided—and it doesn’t take a lot creativeness to see extra weight urgent on costs.

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