Because the later nation votes in Indiana are available, they present Trump operating stronger

Earlier at this time, I highlighted that Harris was operating higher in Sullivan county in Indiana, which was one of many first counties to report. Nicely now, with 98% of the votes counted, Trump is operating higher than he did in 2020 by about 1 level. That is signal for the previous President and you’ll see Trump trades present some optimism available in the market.

The lesson from the sooner votes exhibiting Harris is that mail-in votes are sometimes counted first, and people favor Harris. However election day voting favors Trump, so there may be an phantasm of Harris energy.

All that mentioned, the suburban numbers are nonetheless operating stronger for Harris vs Biden on a number of fronts, so we might be seeing a stronger urban-rural skew. Intuitively that is sensible.

This text was written by Adam Button at www.ubaidahsan.com.



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