Recap: BOJ’s Nakagawa warns on tariff dangers, says Tankan survey key for outlook

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BOJ’s Nakagawa flagged U.S. tariff dangers and mentioned the upcoming Tankan survey will probably be key for assessing sentiment. The Financial institution is conserving a data-dependent stance, with markets nonetheless betting on one other price hike this yr after its July inflation improve.

Extra:

Financial institution of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa warned that uncertainty over U.S. tariff coverage stays a major danger to Japan and the worldwide financial system. She pointed to the upcoming Tankan survey as a key gauge of how commerce tensions are filtering via to company sentiment.

Nakagawa mentioned the central financial institution would proceed to scrutinize information carefully and alter financial coverage as wanted. A former Nomura Asset Administration chair, she is thought to be impartial on coverage.

The background to her speech:

  • The BOJ ended its large stimulus final yr and raised charges to zero.5% in January, judging that inflation was nearing its 2% goal.
  • Though the Financial institution held regular in July, it lifted its inflation forecasts and struck a extra optimistic tone on development, conserving alive expectations for one more price hike this yr.
  • A majority of analysts count on a minimum of a 25bp hike earlier than year-end, up from simply over half in July

Earlier:

  • BOJ’s Nakagawa: Uncertainty stays excessive on affect of tariffs

This text was written by Aaron Cutchburt at investinglive.com.

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