Ether Futures Technical Evaluation and Value Prediction with tradeCompass (August 22, 2025)

Ether Futures Technical Evaluation & Value Prediction with tradeCompass (August 22, 2025)

Abstract (Right now)

Bullish above: four,225
Bearish under: four,141
Main bias: Bullish whereas worth holds above the four,212.5–four,228 “rail” (mid ~four,219)
Present worth (time of study): four,258.5

Key context: We have now a excessive‑significance zone from four,212.5 (right this moment’s VAL) to four,228 (yesterday’s POC, close to yesterday’s VAL), bracketed by Aug 20 & Aug 19 VWAPs—a good acceptance rail centered close to four,219. Above that rail and above four,225, the tradeCompass bias stays bullish.

Ethereum Market Context & Directional Bias

• The place we’re: Ether futures commerce round four,258.5, a contact beneath right this moment’s POC, however above the four,212.5–four,228 acceptance rail. That retains consumers in management by the tradeCompass map.

• Why it issues: The confluence of right this moment’s VAL, yesterday’s POC/VAL, and two prior-session VWAPs in a 15.5‑level band concentrates liquidity and prior acceptance. Sustained commerce above four,225 favors continuation towards greater quantity magnets and prior VWAP/VA constructions.

• Bearish invalidation: The draw back solely prompts on a decisive break under four,141 (yesterday’s VAL; slightly below Aug 19 POC), flipping the map and opening a stair‑step to progressively decrease magnets.

Key Ranges & Partial‑Revenue Technique (Ethereum Bulls)

Beneath are the laddered partial‑revenue targets you requested to incorporate, with transient “why it issues” notes. Execute one lengthy per path per tradeCompass; handle danger with staged exits.

four,281
— Just below Aug 21 VWAP; first logical “truthful worth” examine and scale‑out space.

four,302.5
— Sits under the VAH of each right this moment and yesterday; high-probability response zone.
— Transfer cease to entry upon reaching this second scale‑out (tradeCompass rule).

four,349
— Conservative waypoint forward of liquidity across the mid‑350s and the four,359 (Aug 20 POC) gravity above; take income earlier than crowded stops.

four,515.5
— Extension goal beneath Aug 15 VWAP; attainable if momentum persists intraday or on a swing foundation.

four,578.5
— Beneath Aug 15 VAH; continuation goal if development sustains.

four,688
— Beneath Aug 14 VAH; closing extension for right this moment’s plan (past right here would require a brand new tradeCompass).

Key Ranges & Partial‑Revenue Technique (Ethereum Bears)

Bearish state of affairs prompts under four,141. Targets are nearer at first and cluster round psychological magnets.

four,102.5
— Simply above four,100 and Aug 18 VAH; take preliminary income into spherical‑quantity liquidity.

four,002
— Close to Aug eight VWAP and four,000; basic magnet the place responsive shopping for might present.

three,963
— In step with Aug eight VAL; completes right this moment’s bearish ladder.
(Swing merchants: deeper liquidity zones exist at three,862, three,815, and three,635—these are outdoors right this moment’s compass however price marking.)

Ethereum Information & Catalysts to Watch (final 24–48h)

These things don’t exchange the technical plan; they complement it by explaining flows and sentiment that may pace up or decelerate the trail between targets.

• Bloomberg (right this moment): A collapse in Bitcoin volatility is pushing danger‑hungry merchants towards different crypto exposures. In August, Ether ETFs noticed ~$2.5B of inflows whereas Bitcoin merchandise had ~$1.3B of internet outflows—a supportive relative‑circulate sign for ETH. Bloomberg.com

• InvestingLive (right this moment): “Can Ethereum comply with Bitcoin to a brand new all‑time excessive?” — evaluation of ETH’s July momentum and the August pullback close to prior ATH space; helpful macro context for swing‑bias. investingLive

• InvestingLive (right this moment): “Honest Worth in Crypto” — framework for occupied with Bitcoin/Ethereum truthful worth, helpful when worth separates from VWAPs and worth areas. investingLive

• InvestingLive (this week): Latest ETH evaluation & worth prediction posts define continuation triggers and danger ranges; the construction aligns with right this moment’s tradeCompass thresholds. investingLive+1

• Reuters (final week): Normal Chartered lifted its 12 months‑finish ETH goal to $7,500, citing stronger business engagement and rising holdings—macro tailwind for medium‑time period bulls. Reuters

• Bloomberg (Aug eight): ETH topped $four,000 on ETF inflows and broader demand, underscoring how spot ETF flows are more and more pivotal to ETH worth discovery. Bloomberg.com

(Contextual macro): Crypto beta has remained resilient into mid‑August; Bitcoin’s file and flows stay related cross‑asset alerts for ETH development persistence. Reuters

Learn how to use this information: If flows into ETH funds keep agency and BTC vol stays muted, pullbacks to the four,219–four,225 rail might entice dip‑consumers. Conversely, a information‑pushed liquidity shock that pushes worth again under four,141 would activate the bearish ladder.

Academic Phase (Worth Space, VWAP, POC — concise refresher)

• Worth Space (VAH/VAL): The value band the place most buying and selling quantity occurred in a session (usually ~70%). VAH caps the place worth was accepted; VAL flooring it. Repeated acceptance above/under these edges typically seeds the subsequent directional leg.

• VWAP (Quantity‑Weighted Common Value): Consider it because the session’s truthful commerce line. Above VWAP implies consumers paying up relative to quantity distribution; under implies sellers dominating. Prior‑day VWAPs ceaselessly act as reminiscence ranges for intraday targets.

• POC (Level of Management): The only most‑traded worth by quantity. It behaves like a magnet on rotations and a staging submit on breakouts. Targets positioned simply earlier than POCs/VAHs/VWAPs can enhance fill chance and cut back slippage.

tradeCompass Administration Guidelines (fast reminders)

• One commerce per path (don’t overtrade the map).

• Scale out: Take partials at every listed goal; don’t await the “house run” to handle danger.

• Cease logic: After the second goal, transfer cease to entry.

• Invalidation: By no means park a cease past the alternative threshold—breaching it cancels the unique premise.

• Affirmation: Use your most popular affirmation (e.g., 15‑min maintain above/under a threshold, or two closes) to fit your danger tolerance.

Clarification: Utilizing the investingLive.com tradeCompass (bull/bear roadmap)

This map is supposed to be actionable throughout timeframes:

• If worth is hovering beneath a bullish threshold and failing to carry, aggressive merchants might probe shorts again towards the rail or VAL.

• If worth pushes under the bearish threshold (four,141) and holds, that alerts a deeper bearish stage, activating the quick ladder.

• The center “rail” (four,212.5–four,228, mid ~four,219) is your navigation channel—acceptance above favors longs towards four,281 → four,302.5, whereas acceptance under will increase danger of a drive towards four,141.

orderFlow Intel

When accessible, we’ll overlay Order Stream Intel (delta, cumulative delta development, absorption/rejection at VA edges) to time entries on the rail and VWAPs. This augments the map by flagging who’s in management in the intervening time of choice, consumers lifting provides or sellers hitting bids. We might make the most of that on commerce concepts at investingLive Shares Telegram (not just for inventory commerce concepts), hop on over.

Skilled Disclaimer

This Ethereum technical evaluation is choice assist, not funding recommendation. Crypto and futures are unstable; at all times commerce at your individual danger, measurement positions prudently, and use stops. The Ether futures worth prediction and key ranges above are primarily based on right this moment’s VWAP/Worth Space/POC map and will change with market circumstances.

See additionally:

• Honest Worth in Crypto (framework for BTC/ETH truthful worth). investingLive

• Can Ethereum comply with Bitcoin to a brand new all‑time excessive? (large‑image ETH context). investingLive

• Ethereum Evaluation & Value Prediction Right now with tradeCompass (current map). investingLive

This text was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.