Atlanta Fed GDPNow preliminary estimate for Q3 progress is available in at 2.three%

The preliminary progress estimate for Q3 GDP is out from the Atlanta Fed. The 2nd quarter GDP was launched yesterday at three.zero%. The Atlanta Fed did fairly good with their estimate at 2.9%.Their mannequin appears to be the gold commonplace. The market economists have been forecasting 2.four%.

Within the preliminary progress estimate for Q3, they see progress at 2.three%. Of word is that it is early, and there mannequin incorporates information level after information level after information level. So the volatility is excessive particularly at first. Extra towards the tip, it may possibly develop into much less risky.

However in their very own phrases they preserve it easy:

• The preliminary GDPNow mannequin estimate for actual GDP progress (seasonally adjusted annual fee) within the third quarter of 2025 is 2.three % on July 31. The primary estimate of second-quarter actual GDP progress launched by the US Bureau of Financial Evaluation was three.zero %, zero.1 share level above the ultimate GDPNow nowcast.

The following GDPNow replace is Friday, August 1. Please see the “Launch Dates” tab under for a listing of upcoming releases.

This text was written by Emma Wang at investinglive.com.